Donald Trump Hit by Triple Polling Setback Following Guilty Verdict

Voters react sharply to recent verdict on Trump.

by Nouman Rasool
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Donald Trump Hit by Triple Polling Setback Following Guilty Verdict
© Spencer Platt/Getty Images

In a dramatic sequence of events, former President Donald Trump has suffered a crushing backlash in the polls since his conviction in a Manhattan criminal trial. Just 48 hours after he was found guilty on multiple counts of falsifying business records related to a hush money payment, three separate polls have painted a bleak picture for his political future.

A YouGov poll conducted immediately after the verdict interviewed 3,040 U.S. adults, of whom 50% believe Trump to be guilty, 30% do not, and 19% remain unsure. The poll's margin of error is ±2.3%, showing a stark partisan divide: Only 15% of Republicans, 86% of Democrats, and 48% of independents see Trump as guilty.

Poll Reveals Divisions

More specifically, a Morning Consult poll reports that 54% of registered voters approve of the verdict, while 39% do not. Significantly, 51% of voters report that Trump should discontinue running for prePresident'sfice.

This is where a clear party split occurs, with Trump's ongoing solid Republican backing despite the verdict. "A Reuters/Ipsos poll also shows how the decision has potential long-term effects for the Trump campaign, as there appears to have been a shift in voters' dispositions after the verdict.

While a large share of Republicans (55%) and Independents (58%) said the ruling didn't change their opinion about Trump, a significant minority of his party becomes less likely to vote for him now." However, the Trump campaign is combative in the face of this polling gloom.

In a statement, Steven Cheung, Trump's campaign communications director, said there was a post-verdict bounce, record-breaking continued fundraising, and evidence from the Daily Mail/J.L. Partners poll of the impressive post-verdict jump in Trump approval.

That poll showed a 6% rise in those who viewed the PrePresidentre favourably than the 16% who viewed him more negatively. As the political world reacts to these developments, the coming days will be crucial in deciding the trajectory of Trump's ambitions for a 2024 presidential campaign.

With the polls showing a Republican base split, the former prePresident'sthway to the White House seems likely to be complicated.

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