Biden Lags Behind Trump in Latest 2024 Election Poll

Biden faces mounting challenges as approval ratings dip

by Zain ul Abedin
Biden Lags Behind Trump in Latest 2024 Election Poll
© Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

A new national CNN poll shows former President Donald Trump holding a six-point lead over President Joe Biden, highlighting a shifting electoral landscape as the 2024 presidential election approaches. According to the poll, 49% of voters prefer Trump, while 43% support Biden.

This data reflects a stable backing for Trump and a slight decline for Biden since January, when he stood at 45%. The electoral dynamics further diversify in a hypothetical five-candidate race. In such a scenario, Biden secures 33% of the vote, trailing Trump’s 42%.

Independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornell West captured 16% and 4% of the vote, respectively, with Green Party candidate Jill Stein rounding the field at 3%. Kennedy's presence notably draws support from both major candidates, reflecting his impact on the race.

Despite facing four separate unprecedented criminal charges, Trump’s perception as a successful president during his first term has risen among voters—55% now view his tenure positively. This increase contrasts with the sentiment immediately following the January 6th Capitol insurrection, where a similar percentage deemed his presidency a failure.

Biden's Polling Woes

Conversely, President Biden’s administration, currently midway through its term, struggles with lower approval ratings. Sixty-one percent of those surveyed label his presidency a failure, exacerbated by dissatisfaction with his handling of the economy, inflation, student loan debt, and particularly his approach to the Israel-Hamas conflict, which 71% disapprove of.

This poll, conducted in mid-April among 1,212 adults, including 967 registered voters, carries a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 points. The political landscape could still undergo significant changes with the general election over six months away.

Reflecting on fluctuating poll numbers, Biden has expressed scepticism about polling accuracy, famously remarking in 2022, “I don’t believe the polls”. As the electoral process unfolds, the interplay of candidate dynamics, voter sentiment, and national issues will continue to shape the strategic calculations of both camps, setting the stage for a highly contested race to the White House.