Putin Could Seize Control of Ukraine by Late 2024, CIA Chief Predicts

Congressional approval remains key to international aid negotiations

by Zain ul Abedin
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Putin Could Seize Control of Ukraine by Late 2024, CIA Chief Predicts
© Matthew Stockman/Getty Images

In a stark assessment from the U.S. intelligence community, CIA Director William Burns warned that Russian President Vladimir Putin could effectively claim victory in Ukraine by the end of the year. This chilling forecast comes as U.S.

legislators prepare to deliberate over a critical $61 billion aid package for Ukraine this weekend. Burns articulated the vital importance of the proposed aid, suggesting it would bolster Ukraine both materially and morally.

He emphasized that the support could fortify Ukraine's defenses through 2024, challenging Putin's presumptuous belief that time favors Russia. Without this aid, however, Burns painted a grim picture, foreseeing a potential scenario where Ukraine might suffer significant losses on the battlefield by late 2024.

This could grant Putin leverage to impose terms for a political resolution, he explained. The ongoing conflict, ignited by Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022, has seen the U.S. extend approximately $75 billion in various forms of assistance to Ukraine, as reported by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

The latest installment of U.S. support came on December 27, 2023, with a $250 million military aid package that included critical air defense and anti-tank weaponry.

Congress Debates Aid Package

Yet, future aid hinges on Congressional approval.

While the Senate passed a $95 billion aid package for Ukraine, Israel, and other allies in February, the proposal has faced roadblocks in the House. Here, it confronts opposition from conservative Republicans demanding tougher U.S.

border policies and some Democrats who are hesitant to support military aid to Israel due to its actions in Gaza. In a strategic move, House Speaker Mike Johnson, a Republican, announced plans to segment the aid packages into separate bills to enhance their chances of passage.

The revised Ukraine bill mandates financial commitments from other U.S. allies and includes a repayment requirement from Ukraine, echoing demands from Donald Trump, the Republican presumptive presidential nominee. Meanwhile, the battlefield dynamics continue to evolve.

Despite a significant counteroffensive last summer, Ukrainian forces made limited territorial gains, hindered by Russian minefields. Recent reports from Ukrainian military leaders highlight a pressing shortage of troops and ammunition.

Simultaneously, Russia has escalated its use of advanced satellite-guided bombs, complicating the tactical situation. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky issued a dire warning on April 7, stating unequivocally that without Congressional support for the military aid, Ukraine stands to lose the war - a loss he believes could precipitate broader regional conflicts.

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