Biden Narrows Gap with Trump in Latest Poll

Recent poll highlights key voter trends across demographics

by Zain ul Abedin
Biden Narrows Gap with Trump in Latest Poll
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In an increasingly competitive electoral landscape, President Joe Biden is closing the gap on former President Donald Trump ahead of a potential 2020 election rematch, according to recent findings from a New York Times/Siena poll released on Saturday.

The survey reveals a tightening race, with Trump holding a slight advantage at 46 percent to Biden's 45 percent, a notable shift from earlier polls with Trump leading more comfortably. This latest poll contrasts sharply with a February survey by the same pollsters, where Trump led Biden by 5 percentage points in a head-to-head contest.

However, introducing third-party candidates into the race complicates the electoral dynamics, with Biden's support dipping to 40 percent and Trump's to 42 percent. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has also emerged as a contender, capturing 2 percent of the potential vote.

The survey also highlights a significant portion of the electorate remains undecided or disengaged, with 7 percent of respondents indicating they do not plan to vote, and another 6 percent still uncertain of their choice.

An additional 2 percent of those surveyed preferred candidates outside the main contenders, including third-party options.

Voter Demographics Analyzed

Demographic trends within the poll suggest distinct preferences among voters.

Trump appears to hold a strong base among male voters and those aged 49 to 64, while Biden shows greater appeal among women and the senior population, particularly those 65 and older. The racial divide is also pronounced: approximately 70 percent of Black voters favor Biden, in stark contrast to the 16 percent supporting Trump.

White voters, on the other hand, tend to lean towards Trump, with 53 percent backing the former president compared to 39 percent for Biden. Education plays a significant role in voter preference, with Biden leading among college-educated adults—55 percent of respondents with a bachelor’s degree favor the current president over Trump.

Biden also holds substantial support among non-white voters, capturing 50 percent of the Hispanic vote and nearly 60 percent among other racial groups not specifically white, Black, or Hispanic. Trump maintains strong support among independent voters, who represent a crucial demographic in determining the election's outcome.

He commands 47 percent of their support, with Biden trailing at 42 percent. This group's preferences may well pivot the final results come fall. The Times/Siena poll, conducted from April 7 to 11 among 1,059 voters, carries a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.

As the political landscape evolves, both candidates are vying for pivotal votes in what promises to be a closely contested battle for the presidency.