New Hampshire Vote May Deliver Unwelcome News to Biden

Emerging Dynamics Reshape Democratic Primary Landscape

by Zain ul Abedin
New Hampshire Vote May Deliver Unwelcome News to Biden
© Eros Hoagland/Getty Images

In the political landscape of 2024, a critical moment unfolds as President Joe Biden and the Democratic Party face a pivotal test in New Hampshire's primary. The Democrats, historically known for their advocacy of democracy, find themselves at a crossroads, grappling with the consequences of their decision to relegate New Hampshire's significance in the primary process.

This decision, aimed at favoring South Carolina as the inaugural state in the primary sequence, has sparked controversy and debate, raising questions about the party's commitment to democratic principles. The reshuffling of primary states was initially framed as a progressive move, intended to bring diversity to the forefront by replacing New Hampshire, predominantly white, with the more racially diverse South Carolina.

However, this strategic move is not devoid of political calculations. Biden's poor performance in New Hampshire's 2020 primary, where he secured a mere 8% of the vote, contrasts starkly with his victorious turnaround in South Carolina, prompting skeptics to question the underlying motives of this shift.

New Hampshire's Primary Twist

Despite the Democratic Party's attempt to downplay New Hampshire's primary, the state has defiantly proceeded with its historic first-in-the-nation status, albeit with a twist: President Biden is conspicuously absent from the ballot.

Instead, the spotlight turns to an emerging Democratic figure, Congressman Dean Phillips of Minnesota, who is gaining traction in the polls. Surprisingly, Phillips, a relatively unknown contender until recently, is polling between 20-25%, a significant figure given Biden's hovering around the 50% mark.

This scenario paints a worrying picture for the incumbent, reminiscent of past presidents like Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush, who faced formidable challenges despite winning New Hampshire with similar percentages. Phillips' ascent is fueled by a formidable campaign team, including veterans from Andrew Yang's 2020 campaign, and substantial financial support, notably a million-dollar contribution from billionaire Bill Ackman.

His vigorous campaign is shaking up the political landscape, challenging the established narrative and proving that New Hampshire's primary is more than just a ceremonial event.

New Hampshire's Defiant Vote

This unfolding drama in New Hampshire embodies the state's motto, "Live Free or Die," as voters assert their significance in the democratic process, challenging the party's attempt to sideline them.

As the primary approaches, Biden's assertion that democracy is at stake in this election rings true, but perhaps not in the way he intended. New Hampshire's Democrats are poised to send a resounding message, potentially signaling a shift in party leadership and the emergence of a formidable challenge to Biden's candidacy.

In a year where democracy is declared to be on the ballot, the unfolding events in New Hampshire serve as a stark reminder that in the realm of politics, actions often speak louder than words. The outcome of this primary could very well redefine the political landscape and set the stage for a tumultuous election year, underscoring the enduring power of voter sentiment and the unpredictability of democratic processes.