Recent polling in Canada reveals a significant shift in public opinion, with an overwhelming 72% of Canadians expressing their desire for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to resign. This sentiment comes amid growing support for Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre.
Trudeau, who ascended to power in 2015, is not mandated to call an election until 2025, yet faces increasing challenges within and outside his party. An Ipsos poll this week indicates a clear majority of Canadians, including a growing number within the Liberal Party, are advocating for Trudeau's resignation, favoring the selection of a new leader for the upcoming elections.
Pierre Poilievre, who rose to the position of opposition leader last year, appears to be the favored candidate, poised to defeat Trudeau if elections were held today.
Trudeau's Diminishing Support
Trudeau's tenure, while initially marked by popularity, has been marred by various scandals and embarrassments, such as ethics violations and the surfacing of blackface photos from his past.
His most significant hurdle is addressing the cost-of-living crisis, as Canadians struggle with rising prices for essentials. Poilievre has capitalized on this issue, advocating for change and criticizing Trudeau's situation handling.
Despite the pressure, Trudeau remains firm and committed to leading the Liberals in the next election. However, internal support within his party is diminishing, with only 33% of Liberal voters backing him, a decline from 28% in September.
In contrast, Poilievre enjoys substantial support within the Conservative Party, with 91% backing him as their leader for the next election. NDP leader Jagmeet Singh also maintains strong support within his party.
Chrystia Freeland's Rising Prominence
Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland emerges as a potential successor to Trudeau, garnering significant name recognition and potential to enhance the Liberals' electoral prospects.
Meanwhile, Trudeau's approval ratings have plummeted to match record lows, with only 31% of Canadians approving of his performance. Amidst these political challenges, Trudeau's personal life has also been tumultuous, marked by his recent separation from his wife of 18 years, Sophie Grégoire Trudeau.
This personal development has been a topic of public speculation, particularly in the context of Trudeau's potential resignation before the next election, mirroring the decision made by his father, Pierre Trudeau, in 1984.
Carbon Tax Controversy
The political landscape is further complicated by debates over the carbon tax policy, a vital issue for Poilievre, who vehemently opposes it. The tax, intended to reduce fossil fuel use and promote clean energy, has become increasingly unpopular amid the cost-of-living crisis, with public support for carbon pricing dropping significantly.
Poilievre has promised to eliminate the tax, framing it as an unfair consumer burden. In summary, Justin Trudeau faces a challenging political climate, with declining support within his party, increasing popularity for his Conservative rival, and a personal life under public scrutiny. As the next election approaches, the political landscape in Canada remains dynamic and uncertain.